COMMUNITY | MARKETS | STATE |
"One of the earliest attempts to systematically classify disease began with John Graunt’s mid-seventeenth-century examination of London’s Bills of Mortality (1939[1662]). London’s series of bubonic plague outbreaks in the first half of the seventeenth century served as the backdrop for Graunt’s statistical analysis. His primary objective was to develop a more comprehensive picture of London’s mortality in order to construct a disease-incident baseline from which to better understand the effects of plague, which tended to overshadow other causes of death. Essential to these objectives were the broader concerns for creating "population profiles through a study of causes of death" (Alter and Carmichael 1999, 121), which Graunt accomplished by estimating London’s population through a geographical analysis, allowing him to calculate crude mortality rates." p.96. | |
UK coronavirus: care providers allegeCare operators warn coronavirus may | "Sydenham designed his nosology with the needs of the physician rather than those of the statistician in mind. Accordingly, Sydenham and Graunt produced different classification systems based on the distinct purposes for which they were intended. This distinction (clinical vs. demographic) played a more significant role in the nineteenth century, foreshadowing some of the tensions and cross-purposes that informed the development of modern classification systems. As Alter and Carmichael (1999, 121) note: 'The problematic relationship between causes of morbidity and causes of mortality thus presented an ideological barrier between the concerns of physicians and the interests of statisticians. ...one group were lumpers, the other splitters.'" p.97. |
Dear ERCIM News Reader,
ERCIM News No. 121 has just been published at https://ercim-news.ercim.eu/
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| ERCIM News 121 |
-- Peter Kunz ERCIM Office 2004, Route des Lucioles BP93 F-06902 Sophia Antipolis Cedex https://www.ercim.eu
Forget the Golden Ratio ... |
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| ... | it's time to get real ... |
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| Mathematics and Art: A Cultural History, |
"The Renaissance friar Fra Luca Pacioli singled out one of Euclid's irrational ratios - the division of a line into extreme and mean ratio - and proclaimed that it was a metaphor for the Almighty because divine nature is irrational in the sense of being beyond the understanding of rational mortals. Thus Pacioli associated Euclid's ratio with theology. But neither Pacioli nor the ancients associated the ratio with art or beauty.
That association was not made until the early 1800s, when German mathematicians first referred to Euclid's division (sectioning) of the line as "golden"; adopted from them and popularized by Adolf Zeising's New System of Human Proportions (1854), the term became central to the (false) historical claim that ancient, medieval, and Renaissance artists and architects had used the ratio to determine ideal proportions." p.73.
Gamwell (2016).
"If a patient presents with red flag signs of impeding airway obstruction, consider the aspects of the 6Cs in nursing and reflect on the care, compassion, and communication required to the patient and family.If you understand Hodges' model then you will appreciate how the model can facilitate reflection on all of the above.
Consider the different dimensions of a person-centred climate of a long-term care setting.
Reflect on the nurse's role in the provision of person-centred care in an older adult residential setting.
How could you make the care of patients in your setting more person-centred?
Reflecting on the case study, what do you consider may help nurses in recognising the condition early and minimise the need for investigations?
Reflect on how the time perspective [can] be an indicator of health and quality of life in people with HIV or another patient group.
Consider how the time perspective can be incorporated into the health care of people with HIV.
Think about how nurses can assess the time perspective in people with HIV."
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| https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1247547729879891968?s=20 |
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| State of the World’s Nursing Report - 2020 |
psychological realism cognition | neoclassical model "The most well-known critique of behavioural economics comes from a psychologist, Gerd Gigerenzer of the Max Planck Institute for Human Development. Gigerenzer argues that it is pointless to keep adding frills to a mathematical account of human behaviour that, in the end, has nothing to do with real cognitive processes. ... He [Laibson] concedes that Gigerenzer has a point but adds: 'Gerd's models of heuristic decision-making are great in the specific domains for which they are designed but they are not general models of behaviour.'"
"There is a tendency to propose some new theory to explain each new fact. The world doesn't need a thousand different theories to explain a thousand different facts. At some point there needs to be a discipline of trying to explain many facts with one theory." [David K Levine, Is Behavioural Economics Doomed?, 2012]
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social proof
| behavioural economics
"The challenge for behavioural economics is to elaborate on the neoclassical model to deliver psychological realism without collapsing into a mess of special cases. Some say that the most successful special case comes from Harvard's David Laibson. It is a mathematical tweak designed to represent the particular brand of short-termism that leads us to sign up for the gym yet somehow never quite get around to exercising. It's called "hyperbolic discounting", a name that refers to a mathematical curve, and which says much about the way behavioural economists represent human psychology."
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There are many lessons to be found - and as governments continue to learn - trip over, in the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.
The government made a call for volunteers:
https://www.england.nhs.uk/2020/03/your-nhs-needs-you-nhs-call-for-volunteer-army/
and the public has responded with 750,000 respondents:
https://www.goodsamapp.org/NHS
While of little consequence in the larger world, for me this crisis continues to reveal how the axes of Hodges' model encompass far more than their respective labels might indicate.
Taking the vertical axis: INDIVIDUAL to GROUP (population) nations have had to resort to law to direct, instruct, force their citizens to stay at home.
Health policy, public health and economics specialists have long sought a means to influence people's behaviour. Nudge theory has joined the basic motivators of carrot and stick.
In the UK the call for volunteers has a long history.
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| Tom Hughes-Hallet, Your NHS Needs You, The Sunday Times, 26 August 2018, p.22. |
An individual's behaviour ... | ... and the impact of the same. |
| THE BIG SOCIETY | "The Big Society was a political ideology developed in the early 21st century. The idea proposed "integrating the free market with a theory of social solidarity based on hierarchy and voluntarism". Conceptually it "draws on a mix of conservative communitarianism and libertarian paternalism". Its roots "can be traced back to the 1990s, and to early attempts to develop a non-Thatcherite, or post-Thatcherite, brand of UK conservatism" such as David Willetts' Civic Conservatism and the revival of Red Toryism. Some commentators have seen the Big Society as invoking Edmund Burke's idea of civil society, putting it into the sphere of one-nation conservatism. The term Big Society was originated by Steve Hilton, director of strategy for the Conservative Party, and the idea became particularly associated with the party's leader David Cameron who was a strong advocate for it. The idea formed the flagship policy of the 2010 UK Conservative Party general election manifesto and was part of the subsequent legislative programme of the Conservative–Liberal Democrat coalition agreement. The stated aim was to create a climate that empowered local people and communities, building a "big society" that would take power away from politicians and give it to people." WikiPedia |
*personalise | scientify |
socialise | politicise |
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| Sentence: "Nurses wear certified personal protective equipment to care for patients with Coronavirus." in VerbAtlas 1.0 |
For those working at the intersection between #NLP and #COVID19 here is a possibly interesting venue:— Emilio Ferrara (@emilio__ferrara) April 4, 2020
NLP COVID-19 Workshop at ACL 2020 @aclmeeting https://t.co/hLFqljTVJC pic.twitter.com/0bOdcU0qBV
Since 2015 I've had four 'conversations' with the doctors at A&E upon mum's attendance and subsequent admission on a couple of occasions. Initially, I was surprised if not shocked by the speed with which the 'conversation' followed on treatment, the extent of this and the question of resus. The further interactions were still emotionally jarring, even when expected and telegraphed. I also understand: to an extent. Repeated chest infection or urine infection had resulted in confusion, delirium that varied. on one occasion, at the nursing home there was also suddenly talk of a diagnosis of dementia, which prompted social services to wonder, like family and staff, where exactly this diagnosis had come from and investigate. (Another post?)Mum has been very poorly, most recently in November. What surprised and shocked was the 'conversation' at the end of the bed when I knew mum - with mental capacity at that time was most likely listening. The primacy of person-centredness seemed to be by-passed. I suggested the doctor ask mum since once hydrated she would be fine. There has been a sense of a script being followed with some pressure - urgency behind it, if not a 'prescription'. I empathised with the doctors, often FY1 FY2; such matters are never easy. Now amid COVID-19 there is alarm as social care are challenged with taking on a new role, for which they are ill-equipped.In health care you are always conscious of the inverse care law, it seems there is another care law in operation that gives cause to worry for those who cannot advocate for themselves or have no independent advocate. Perhaps there is another inverse law that runs concurrently concerning ethics. Triage, is real. Objectively, as a nurse you think "Am I being selfish?". But, as eldest son - absolutely not. These conversations, and the future aside, the doctors and team as a whole have worked (absolute) wonders for which mum and the family will always be grateful.
"There should be no wrong door and every service should reverse the ... | ... Inverse Care Law, which simply states those people in need of health and social care the most get them the least." | ||||
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| Brian E. Hodges - c/o Brian's family. |
Born in Liverpool, NW England, UK.
Community Mental Health Nurse NHS, Part-time Lecturer,
Researcher Nursing & Technology Enhanced Learning
Registered Nurse - Mental Health & General
Community Psychiatric Nursing (Cert.) MMU
PG Cert. Ed.
BA(Joint Hons.) Computing and Philosophy - BIHE - Bolton
PG(Dip.) Collaboration on Psychosocial Education [COPE] Univ. Man.
MRES. e-Research and Technology Enhanced Learning, Lancaster Univ.
Live and work in NW England - seeking a global perspective.
The views expressed on W2tQ are entirely my own, unless stated otherwise.
Comments are disabled.
If you would like to get in touch please e-mail me at
h2cmng AT yahoo.co.uk
orcid.org/0000-0002-0192-8965
